Dallas Stars
DAL · 40-19-9
2–6
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 32-30-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
27016014237
NJD
263816620
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 40-19-9 · NJD 32-30-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Devils
The Stars created the better chances (3.4 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 2–6. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
DAL 3.4 xG · 37 shots
NJD 2.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:15 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Erik Haula · 1st 05:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Craig Smith · 1st 12:04 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Chris Tierney · 1st 17:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 01:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 03:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 05:12 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 14:25 · 2–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 68.
DAL 68%NJD 32%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:15 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Erik Haula · 1st 05:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Craig Smith · 1st 12:04 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Chris Tierney · 1st 17:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 01:31 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 03:52 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 05:12 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 14:25 · 2–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
6/10 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/10 saves · 2 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.