DAL
4–2
PIT
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 43-19-9
4–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-30-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1102716423
PIT
170718222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 43-19-9 · PIT 30-30-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.4 expected goals); the Stars won 4–2. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 23 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 2.0 xG · 23 shots
PIT 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 02:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 07:16 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 05:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 07:09 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Steel · 3rd 04:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:03 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 43.
DAL 43%PIT 57%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 02:45 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 07:16 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 05:52 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 07:09 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Steel · 3rd 04:37 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:03 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
