DAL
3–2
BUF
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-20-9
3–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 37-37-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1721106324
BUF
250709221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 50-20-9 · BUF 37-37-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Sabres
The Stars earned it: 2.2 expected goals to 1.6, and a 3–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.6, on 24 and 21 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 24 shots
BUF 1.6 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:09 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 06:15 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 09:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:38 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 07:08 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 61.
DAL 61%BUF 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:09 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 06:15 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 09:38 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:38 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 07:08 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
