Dallas Stars
DAL · 51-21-9
3–1
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 33-33-13
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1411917330
SEA
0808111127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
DAL 51-21-9 · SEA 33-33-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
Stars beat the Kraken
Chances were even (2.4 to 1.9 expected goals); the Stars won 3–1.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 1.9, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 2.4 xG · 30 shots
SEA 1.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Craig Smith · 1st 19:57 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 19:23 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 12:23 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 14:11 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 59.
DAL 59%SEA 41%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Craig Smith · 1st 19:57 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 19:23 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 12:23 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 14:11 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.