DAL
3–4
VGK
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 0-1
3–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
21009110329
VGK
381304415
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 0-1 · VGK 1-0 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Golden Knights
The Stars created the better chances (2.3 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 29 and 15 shots on goal.
DAL 2.3 xG · 29 shots
VGK 1.5 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 0.2
3rd
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Stone · 1st 01:23 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:27 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 16:07 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 1st 17:51 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:29 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 01:06 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Mason Marchment · 3rd 11:46 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 64.
DAL 64%VGK 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Stone · 1st 01:23 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:27 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 16:07 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 1st 17:51 · PP · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:29 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 01:06 · GWG · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Mason Marchment · 3rd 11:46 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
