DAL
1–3
VGK
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 0-2
1–3
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1110505121
VGK
16110110326
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Stars trail the series 0–2
DAL 0-2 · VGK 2-0 · Game 2 — the Stars trail the series 0–2
Stars fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.4 expected goals); the Stars lost 1–3. Logan Thompson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 21 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 2.5 xG · 21 shots
VGK 2.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 16:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 18:09 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 18:53 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jack Eichel · 3rd 19:26 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 52.
DAL 52%VGK 48%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 16:47 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 18:09 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 18:53 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jack Eichel · 3rd 19:26 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
