DAL
3–4
COL
Final / OT · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 4-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
39030406322
COL
052111614426
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 4-4 · COL 5-1 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars let a 3–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with four unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Wood's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 22 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 2.5 xG · 22 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.2
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
0.3 · 0.5
OT
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Suter · 1st 07:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:55 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 16:56 · 3–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 05:31 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 09:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Miles Wood · OT 11:03 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 48.
DAL 48%COL 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Suter · 1st 07:26 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:55 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 16:56 · PP · 3–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 05:31 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 09:08 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:39 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Miles Wood · OT 11:03 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Valeri Nichushkin, Mikko Rantanen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
