Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-4
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1931518532
COL
0909313331
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
DAL 5-4 · COL 5-2 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.4 expected goals); the Stars won 5–3. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 2.9 xG · 32 shots
COL 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 14:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:57 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 15:54 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 18:06 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 04:06 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
6
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 08:00 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:16 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Esa Lindell · 3rd 19:39 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 58.
DAL 58%COL 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 14:46 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:57 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 15:54 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 18:06 · SH · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 04:06 · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
6
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 08:00 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Esa Lindell · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.