Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-4
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
DAL
07110170900233
EDM
032140120910338
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 8-6 · EDM 9-4 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.3 expected goals); the Stars lost it in overtime on McDavid's goal. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 33 and 38 shots on goal.
DAL 3.6 xG · 33 shots
EDM 3.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
OT
1.4 · 0.8
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 00:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 04:17 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2OT 00:32 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 54.
DAL 54%EDM 46%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 00:58 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 04:17 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2OT 00:32 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.