DAL
1–3
EDM
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-8
1–3
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 11-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0406110120
EDM
1827011326
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Stars trail the series 2–3
DAL 10-8 · EDM 11-6 · Game 5 — the Stars trail the series 2–3
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.3 expected goals); the Stars lost 1–3. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 20 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 2.1 xG · 20 shots
EDM 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 14:09 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 01:06 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Philip Broberg · 2nd 05:09 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 14:09 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 47.
DAL 47%EDM 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 14:09 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 01:06 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Philip Broberg · 2nd 05:09 · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 14:09 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
