Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-0-0
3–0
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 0-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1611318327
NYI
01207015034
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 2-0-0 · NYI 0-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Islanders
The Stars were outchanced (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 3–0 anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 2.3 xG · 27 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 07:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jamie Benn · 2nd 10:58 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 18:57 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 38.
DAL 38%NYI 62%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 07:59 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jamie Benn · 2nd 10:58 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/34 saves · 0 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.