DAL
4–1
EDM
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-1-0
4–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0219313424
EDM
011010110131
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 5-1-0 · EDM 2-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Oilers
The Stars were outchanced (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
EDM 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 3rd 12:06 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Roope Hintz · 3rd 13:16 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 17:38 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 18:01 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 38.
DAL 38%EDM 62%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:34 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 3rd 12:06 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Roope Hintz · 3rd 13:16 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 17:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 18:01 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
