Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-5-0
7–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 8-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
210315213738
BOS
1110618225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 10-5-0 · BOS 8-8-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Bruins
The Stars earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Jeremy Swayman allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 3.2 xG · 38 shots
BOS 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 01:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 06:36 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Charlie Coyle · 1st 17:48 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 14:15 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 15:56 · 4–1 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 19:49 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 00:47 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
David Pastrnak · 3rd 03:35 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Mason Marchment · 3rd 17:19 · 7–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 59.
DAL 59%BOS 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 01:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 06:36 · PS · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Charlie Coyle · 1st 17:48 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 14:15 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 15:56 · 4–1
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 19:49 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 00:47 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
David Pastrnak · 3rd 03:35 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Mason Marchment · 3rd 17:19 · 7–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/38 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.