Dallas Stars
DAL · 14-8-0
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-11-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2821115524
COL
11407211332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 14-8-0 · COL 13-11-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Avalanche
The Stars were outchanced (4.5 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.5 xG · 24 shots
COL 4.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.7
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 05:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 13:56 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Mason Marchment · 1st 14:28 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 07:07 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 18:42 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:02 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:03 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mason Marchment · 3rd 17:17 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 23.
DAL 23%COL 77%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 05:36 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 13:56 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Mason Marchment · 1st 14:28 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 07:07 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 18:42 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:02 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:03 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mason Marchment · 3rd 17:17 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.