Dallas Stars
DAL · 15-8-0
3–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 18-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
11201029331
WPG
1708012127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 15-8-0 · WPG 18-7-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Jets
The Stars earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, and a 3–1 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
WPG 1.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 03:16 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 17:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 12:23 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:52 · 3–1 · tip in shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 70.
DAL 70%WPG 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 03:16 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 17:06 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 12:23 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 3–1
Tip in shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.