DAL
6–2
CGY
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 17-10-0
6–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1121749628
CGY
15114012231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 17-10-0 · CGY 13-10-5 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Flames
The Stars earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 28 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 01:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 04:26 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 07:47 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 16:08 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 05:13 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Sam Steel · 3rd 12:01 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:02 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Thomas Harley · 3rd 19:02 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 68.
DAL 68%CGY 32%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 01:00 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 04:26 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 07:47 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 16:08 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 05:13 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Sam Steel · 3rd 12:01 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:02 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Thomas Harley · 3rd 19:02 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
