DAL
1–4
NSH
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 17-11-0
1–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 8-16-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
05016115136
NSH
0831216426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 17-11-0 · NSH 8-16-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Stars lost 1–4. Justus Annunen stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 36 shots
NSH 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.8
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 11:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 13:33 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:39 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Lian Bichsel · 3rd 10:34 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zachary L'Heureux · 3rd 16:47 · 1–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 45.
DAL 45%NSH 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 11:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 13:33 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:39 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Lian Bichsel · 3rd 10:34 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zachary L'Heureux · 3rd 16:47 · EN · 1–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
