DAL
3–5
TOR
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 19-12-0
3–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 20-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
11619114339
TOR
143817519
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 19-12-0 · TOR 20-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Maple Leafs
The Stars created the better chances (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 39 and 19 shots on goal.
DAL 2.9 xG · 39 shots
TOR 1.9 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Steel · 1st 05:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Max Domi · 1st 06:13 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 00:22 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 05:15 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Nick Robertson · 2nd 05:31 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Bobby McMann · 2nd 11:01 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Colin Blackwell · 3rd 17:44 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
William Nylander · 3rd 18:17 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 67.
DAL 67%TOR 33%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Steel · 1st 05:14 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Max Domi · 1st 06:13 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 00:22 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 05:15 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Nick Robertson · 2nd 05:31 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Bobby McMann · 2nd 11:01 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Colin Blackwell · 3rd 17:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
William Nylander · 3rd 18:17 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
8/12 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/6 saves · 0 GA · 0.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
