DAL
4–2
BUF
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 22-13-1
4–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 14-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
012110311433
BUF
0811015223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 22-13-1 · BUF 14-20-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Sabres
The Stars earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 33 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 3.6 xG · 33 shots
BUF 2.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 2nd 09:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 2nd 10:20 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
3
Jason Robertson · 3rd 02:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 3rd 04:57 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:32 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Esa Lindell · 3rd 18:23 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 63.
DAL 63%BUF 37%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 2nd 09:49 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 2nd 10:20 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
3
Jason Robertson · 3rd 02:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 3rd 04:57 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:32 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Esa Lindell · 3rd 18:23 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
