Dallas Stars
DAL · 23-13-1
4–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-16-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
182819425
OTT
260502213
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 23-13-1 · OTT 19-16-2 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Senators
The Stars earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.4, and a 4–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.4, on 25 and 13 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 25 shots
OTT 1.4 xG · 13 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 07:45 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 08:09 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 10:19 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 11:27 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:37 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 81.
DAL 81%OTT 19%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:39 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 07:45 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 08:09 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 10:19 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 11:27 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:37 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/13 saves · 2 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.