Dallas Stars
DAL · 29-17-1
1–2
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 29-16-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0407112123
CAR
071616219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 29-17-1 · CAR 29-16-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Hurricanes
The Stars created the better chances (4.5 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 23 and 19 shots on goal.
DAL 4.5 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.2 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
2.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 17:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Thomas Harley · 3rd 10:11 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (48%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 10:35 · 1–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 81.
DAL 81%CAR 19%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 17:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Thomas Harley · 3rd 10:11 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (48%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 10:35 · GWG · 1–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.