DAL
4–3
VGK
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 30-17-1
4–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 30-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1631506427
VGK
181518321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 30-17-1 · VGK 30-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Golden Knights
The Stars earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, and a 4–3 win to show for it. The Golden Knights owned the 3rd period, 1.6 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 21 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 27 shots
VGK 2.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
1.9 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 04:04 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 06:19 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 07:31 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Shea Theodore · 2nd 08:57 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jamie Benn · 2nd 16:18 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jason Robertson · 2nd 17:54 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jack Eichel · 3rd 10:35 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 60.
DAL 60%VGK 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 04:04 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 06:19 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 07:31 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Shea Theodore · 2nd 08:57 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jamie Benn · 2nd 16:18 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jason Robertson · 2nd 17:54 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jack Eichel · 3rd 10:35 · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
