Dallas Stars
DAL · 33-17-1
5–3
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 23-18-10
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
171336516
VAN
0911129329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 33-17-1 · VAN 23-18-10 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Canucks
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Stars won 5–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 16 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 16 shots
VAN 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Oskar Bäck · 1st 09:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (46%)
2
Conor Garland · 2nd 05:08 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 16:29 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 04:04 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 16:33 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 17:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:07 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
8
Carson Soucy · 3rd 19:56 · 5–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 53.
DAL 53%VAN 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Oskar Bäck · 1st 09:12 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (46%)
2
Conor Garland · 2nd 05:08 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 16:29 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 04:04 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 16:33 · EN · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 17:51 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:07 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
8
Carson Soucy · 3rd 19:56 · 5–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.