Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-17-1
5–3
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 26-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
110217212539
CBJ
1729014330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 34-17-1 · CBJ 26-20-7 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Blue Jackets
Chances were even (4.1 to 4.0 expected goals); the Stars won 5–3. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.1 expected goals to 4.0, on 39 and 30 shots on goal.
DAL 4.1 xG · 39 shots
CBJ 4.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.9 · 1.5
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Sillinger · 1st 06:43 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 13:36 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 04:58 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 06:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 12:02 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:49 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 11:22 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 15:47 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 51.
DAL 51%CBJ 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Sillinger · 1st 06:43 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 13:36 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 04:58 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 06:03 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 12:02 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:49 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 11:22 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 15:47 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.