Dallas Stars
DAL · 39-19-2
6–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 29-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
391725621
STL
21411909342
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
DAL 39-19-2 · STL 29-27-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
Stars beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.3 expected goals); the Stars won 6–3. Joel Hofer allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.3, on 21 and 42 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 21 shots
STL 3.3 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 01:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 03:22 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 13:28 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 1st 18:34 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 19:58 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:06 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Nathan Walker · 2nd 08:02 · 4–3 · bat shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:14 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:11 · 6–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 43.
DAL 43%STL 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 01:56 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 03:22 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 13:28 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 1st 18:34 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 19:58 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:06 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Nathan Walker · 2nd 08:02 · 4–3
Bat shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:14 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:11 · PP · 6–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.