DAL
4–3
NJD
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 40-19-2
4–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 33-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1102714421
NJD
0919210328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 40-19-2 · NJD 33-24-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Stars won 4–3. Harley's winner came with 0:05 left. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 21 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 3.0 xG · 21 shots
NJD 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ilya Lyubushkin · 2nd 06:30 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:46 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 12:18 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brett Pesce · 3rd 15:52 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 19:55 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 48.
DAL 48%NJD 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:39 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ilya Lyubushkin · 2nd 06:30 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:09 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:46 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 12:18 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brett Pesce · 3rd 15:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 19:55 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
