DAL
4–3
ANA
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 43-21-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 29-31-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
191151413431
ANA
023160601325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
DAL 43-21-3 · ANA 29-31-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
Stars beat the Ducks
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.8 expected goals); the Stars won it in overtime on Granlund's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.8, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 3.8 xG · 31 shots
ANA 3.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
1.9 · 2.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 11:42 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikita Nesterenko · 2nd 02:48 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 04:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 13:03 · 2–2 · poke shot, a great chance (47%)
5
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 19:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
6
Thomas Harley · 3rd 04:37 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Mikael Granlund · OT 02:32 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 50.
DAL 50%ANA 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 11:42 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikita Nesterenko · 2nd 02:48 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 04:25 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 13:03 · PP · 2–2
Poke shot, a great chance (47%)
5
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 19:20 · PS · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
6
Thomas Harley · 3rd 04:37 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Mikael Granlund · OT 02:32 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
