DAL 2–3 TBL Final / SO · L
Stars/Schedule/Recap Fri, Mar 21, 2025 · 2024-25 regular season
Dallas Stars
DAL · 43-21-4
2–3
Final / SOL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 40-23-5
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT DAL 082808000224 TBL 11419012031338 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 43-21-4 · TBL 40-23-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1

Stars fell to the Lightning

The Stars were outchanced (3.2 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.

DAL 2.0 xG · 24 shots TBL 3.2 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.8 · 1.2
2nd 0.9 · 1.1
3rd 0.3 · 0.6
OT 0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 30.
DAL 30%TBL 70%

Goals and penalties

4 goals · 0 penalties
← Stars shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
0–1
2nd period
2
Brandon Hagel, Yanni Gourde · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
0–2
3
07:58 Oskar Bäck
Colin Blackwell, Sam Steel · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–2
4
13:48 Mason Marchment PP
Jamie Benn, Matt Duchene · poke shot, a great chance (39%)
2–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
+1.2
vs expected
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
0.0
vs expected
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team DALTBL
Shots on goal
24
38
Expected goals
2.0
3.2
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Power play
1/0
0/0
Penalty minutes
0
0