Dallas Stars
DAL · 45-21-4
3–0
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 40-26-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0921119329
MIN
08013011032
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 45-21-4 · MIN 40-26-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars beat the Wild
The Stars earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, and a 3–0 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
DAL 4.3 xG · 29 shots
MIN 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:01 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 15:59 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 19:17 · 3–0 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 70.
DAL 70%MIN 30%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:01 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 15:59 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 19:17 · EN · 3–0
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.