Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-21-4
5–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-41-8
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
05110412527
NSH
0171903129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 50-21-4 · NSH 27-41-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars beat the Predators
The Stars earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 27 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.4 xG · 27 shots
NSH 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 04:37 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 19:24 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 00:39 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 05:47 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Lian Bichsel · 3rd 12:42 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 58.
DAL 58%NSH 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 04:37 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 19:24 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 00:39 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 05:47 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:45 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Lian Bichsel · 3rd 12:42 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.