DAL
3–5
PIT
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-22-4
3–5
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 31-34-12
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1816110324
PIT
112011417540
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 50-22-4 · PIT 31-34-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Penguins
The Stars were outchanced (3.8 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Lizotte's winner came with 1:43 left. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 40 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.5 xG · 24 shots
PIT 3.8 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:16 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 12:36 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 00:20 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 03:11 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 08:49 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 18:17 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:45 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 30.
DAL 30%PIT 70%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:16 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 10:43 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 12:36 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 00:20 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 03:11 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 08:49 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 18:17 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
