DAL
5–6
VAN
Final / OT · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-22-6
5–6
Final / OTL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 36-29-13
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
281122800528
VAN
0701051312632
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 50-22-6 · VAN 36-29-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars fell to the Canucks
The Stars let a 3–0 lead get away: the Canucks came back with 6 unanswered goals — Suter's equalizer with 0:07 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Sherwood's goal. Casey DeSmith allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 3.9, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 3.9 xG · 28 shots
VAN 4.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
2.2 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 2.2
OT
0.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 13:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:01 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:28 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 00:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Victor Mancini · 3rd 04:39 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:15 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 17:39 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
8
Aatu Räty · 3rd 19:00 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Pius Suter · 3rd 19:30 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Pius Suter · 3rd 19:53 · 5–5 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
11
Kiefer Sherwood · OT 03:44 · 5–6 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 40.
DAL 40%VAN 60%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 13:48 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:01 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:28 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 00:17 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Victor Mancini · 3rd 04:39 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:15 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 17:39 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
8
Aatu Räty · 3rd 19:00 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Pius Suter · 3rd 19:30 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Pius Suter · 3rd 19:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
11
Kiefer Sherwood · OT 03:44 · GWG · 5–6
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/32 saves · 6 GA · 4.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
