Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-24-6
3–5
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 37-30-13
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1102707324
UTA
111312111534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–1
DAL 50-24-6 · UTA 37-30-13 · Meeting 4 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–1
Stars fell to the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Stars lost 3–5. Casey DeSmith allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 24 and 34 shots on goal.
DAL 3.0 xG · 24 shots
UTA 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 02:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Barrett Hayton · 1st 08:11 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brendan Smith · 2nd 00:32 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sean Durzi · 2nd 01:21 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Logan Cooley · 2nd 07:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Josh Doan · 2nd 18:06 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:53 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 05:32 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 49.
DAL 49%UTA 51%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 02:48 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Barrett Hayton · 1st 08:11 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brendan Smith · 2nd 00:32 · SH · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sean Durzi · 2nd 01:21 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Logan Cooley · 2nd 07:04 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Josh Doan · 2nd 18:06 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:53 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 05:32 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.