DAL
6–2
COL
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-2
6–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2731119627
COL
0928011228
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
DAL 3-2 · COL 2-3 · Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
Stars beat the Avalanche
The Stars earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 3.2, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 4.8 xG · 27 shots
COL 3.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.6 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Thomas Harley · 1st 19:15 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 01:12 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:11 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:38 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 16:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mason Marchment · 2nd 18:32 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:55 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 70.
DAL 70%COL 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Thomas Harley · 1st 19:15 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 01:12 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:11 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:38 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 16:48 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mason Marchment · 2nd 18:32 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:55 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/18 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
