DAL
3–1
WPG
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-4
3–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 5-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1518111324
WPG
010110012132
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Stars lead the series 3–1
DAL 7-4 · WPG 5-6 · Game 4 — the Stars lead the series 3–1
Stars beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Stars won 3–1. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 24 and 32 shots on goal.
DAL 2.4 xG · 24 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 08:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 17:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 07:23 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 43.
DAL 43%WPG 57%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 08:36 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:02 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 17:52 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 07:23 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
