Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-5
2–1
Final / OTW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 6-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
06170413220
WPG
041120700123
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Stars lead the series 4–2
DAL 8-5 · WPG 6-7 · Game 6 — the Stars lead the series 4–2
Stars beat the Jets
The Stars earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, and they won it in overtime on Harley's goal. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 20 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 20 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
OT
0.5 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 05:28 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Sam Steel · 2nd 11:12 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Thomas Harley · OT 01:33 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 71.
DAL 71%WPG 29%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 05:28 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Sam Steel · 2nd 11:12 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Thomas Harley · OT 01:33 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.