DAL
0–3
EDM
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 9-6
0–3
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0110509025
EDM
11021302325
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
DAL 9-6 · EDM 9-4 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Stars lost 0–3. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 25 shots
EDM 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 05:51 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brett Kulak · 2nd 15:23 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Connor Brown · 2nd 16:36 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 56.
DAL 56%EDM 44%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 05:51 · PP · GWG · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brett Kulak · 2nd 15:23 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Connor Brown · 2nd 16:36 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jake Walman · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/25 saves · 0 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
