DAL
3–6
EDM
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 9-9
3–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
171614317
EDM
391925623
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Stars trail the series 1–4
DAL 9-9 · EDM 12-4 · Game 5 — the Stars trail the series 1–4
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.8 expected goals); the Stars lost 3–6. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.8, on 17 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 2.3 xG · 17 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Corey Perry · 1st 02:31 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 07:09 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
· 1st 08:07 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:40 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 14:28 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 00:38 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 03:21 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 19:49 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 43.
DAL 43%EDM 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Corey Perry · 1st 02:31 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 07:09 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
· 1st 08:07 · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:40 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 12:27 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 14:28 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 00:38 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 03:21 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 19:49 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
0/2 saves · 2 GA · 0.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
