Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-0-0
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
21111024525
MIN
014010217241
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 3-0-0 · MIN 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Wild
The Stars were outchanced (3.0 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 41 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 2.0 xG · 25 shots
MIN 3.0 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Esa Lindell · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:18 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 01:31 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 03:50 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 13:04 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Radek Faksa · 3rd 18:18 · 4–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:50 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 32.
DAL 32%MIN 68%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Esa Lindell · 1st 05:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:18 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 01:31 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 03:50 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 13:04 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Radek Faksa · 3rd 18:18 · EN · 4–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:50 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:47
Joel Eriksson Ek· Tripping
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:37
Ryan Hartman· Interference
Duchene scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
3
Mavrik Bourque, Thomas Harley · Power play (Hartman, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:51
Nils Lundkvist· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:51
Justin Hryckowian· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:19
Alexander Petrovic· Instigator
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
02:19
Jake Middleton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:19
Alexander Petrovic· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
02:19
Alexander Petrovic· Instigator
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:36
Colin Blackwell· Holding
Boldy scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:36
Joel Eriksson Ek· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
4
Zeev Buium, Kirill Kaprizov · Power play (Blackwell, holding) · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:33
Colin Blackwell· Holding
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
5
Zeev Buium, Vladimir Tarasenko · Power play (Blackwell, holding) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
Goaltending
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 2-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Wild power plays.