Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-3-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-5-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DAL
0111825031427
EDM
2705112020326
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 7-3-3 · EDM 6-5-4 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Oilers
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Stars erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Heiskanen's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 5.2 xG · 27 shots
EDM 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
OT
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vasily Podkolzin · 1st 03:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 07:07 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 09:10 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:51 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:37 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 12:20 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 75.
DAL 75%EDM 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vasily Podkolzin · 1st 03:40 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 07:07 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 09:10 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:51 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:37 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 12:20 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:52
Esa Lindell· Cross-checking
Draisaitl scored on this power play
Minor
2
Jack Roslovic, Connor McDavid · Power play (Lindell, cross-checking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:49
Darnell Nurse· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
09:33
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
Jack Roslovic· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:04
Lian Bichsel· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:33
Leon Draisaitl· Cross-checking
Rantanen scored on this power play
Minor
3
Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson · Power play (Draisaitl, cross-checking) · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:39
Alec Regula· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Shootout
1
Connor McDavid
Miss
2
Jason Robertson
Goal
3
Leon Draisaitl
Goal
4
Mikko Rantanen
Miss
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Save
6
Wyatt Johnston
Goal
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 5.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Oilers power plays.