Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-4-3
5–7
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 9-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2815213526
ANA
0741137725
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 7-4-3 · ANA 9-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Ducks
The Stars let a 2–0 lead get away: the Ducks came back with 7 unanswered goals — Gauthier's equalizer — and won 5–7. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 3.2 xG · 26 shots
ANA 3.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
3rd
1.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:49 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:18 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Chris Kreider · 2nd 01:16 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ian Moore · 2nd 02:48 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 08:19 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 14:07 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Olen Zellweger · 2nd 17:05 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Chris Kreider · 3rd 00:16 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 01:50 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 09:22 · 4–6 · slap shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Roope Hintz · 3rd 16:39 · 5–6 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Mason McTavish · 3rd 18:07 · 5–7 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 49.
DAL 49%ANA 51%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:49 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:18 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Chris Kreider · 2nd 01:16 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ian Moore · 2nd 02:48 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 08:19 · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 14:07 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Olen Zellweger · 2nd 17:05 · PP · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Chris Kreider · 3rd 00:16 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 01:50 · PP · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 09:22 · SH · GWG · 4–6
Slap shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Roope Hintz · 3rd 16:39 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–6
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Mason McTavish · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 5–7
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:40
Nikita Nesterenko· Hooking
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
1
Mikko Rantanen, Miro Heiskanen · Power play (Nesterenko, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:00
Radek Faksa· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:08
Ian Moore· Hooking
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
2
Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson · Power play (Moore, hooking) · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:24
Sam Steel· Tripping
Kreider scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
3
Leo Carlsson · Power play (Steel, tripping) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:16
Alexander Petrovic· Tripping
Zellweger scored on this power play
Minor
7
Beckett Sennecke, Alex Killorn · Power play (Petrovic, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3–4
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:44
Jacob Trouba· Hooking
Rantanen scored on this power play
Minor
9
Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson · Power play (Trouba, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:53
Mason McTavish· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:32
Mikko Rantanen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Ian Moore· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
11
Mikko Rantanen, Miro Heiskanen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–6
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:04
Miro Heiskanen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 3-for-5 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Ducks power plays.