Dallas Stars
DAL · 17-5-4
6–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 12-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0536315626
OTT
071405116
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 17-5-4 · OTT 12-9-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Senators
The Stars earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Linus Ullmark allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 26 and 16 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
OTT 2.1 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 01:58 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 08:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 02:52 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
6
Jamie Benn · 3rd 07:24 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:41 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 61.
DAL 61%OTT 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 01:58 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 08:36 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:20 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:33 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 02:52 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
6
Jamie Benn · 3rd 07:24 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:41 · PP · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:08
Michael Amadio· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:41
Alexander Petrovic· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:19
Kyle Capobianco· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:35
Miro Heiskanen· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:13
Jordan Spence· Tripping
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
5
Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz · Power play (Spence, tripping) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:42
Dylan Cozens· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:42
Roope Hintz· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:42
Dylan Cozens· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:26
Michael Amadio· Tripping
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
Goaltending
15/16 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/26 saves · 6 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Senators power plays.