Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-7-5
5–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1404414522
TOR
0601517128
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 25-7-5 · TOR 15-15-5 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Stars won 5–1. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 22 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 22 shots
TOR 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
3rd
1.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Sam Steel · 3rd 05:03 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Scott Laughton · 3rd 08:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 12:10 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:55 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
6
Justin Hryckowian · 3rd 19:43 · 5–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 53.
DAL 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:30 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Sam Steel · 3rd 05:03 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Scott Laughton · 3rd 08:39 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 12:10 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:55 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
6
Justin Hryckowian · 3rd 19:43 · 5–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:15
Miro Heiskanen· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:54
Matias Maccelli· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Jason Robertson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:17
John Tavares· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:31
Ilya Lyubushkin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:05
Thomas Harley· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:36
Philippe Myers· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Maple Leafs power plays.