DAL
1–4
BUF
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-8-7
1–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 21-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1140807129
BUF
01421126431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 25-8-7 · BUF 21-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.0 expected goals); the Stars lost 1–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 29 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 00:15 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
2
Josh Doan · 2nd 07:44 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 17:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 09:21 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:35 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 52.
DAL 52%BUF 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 00:15 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
2
Josh Doan · 2nd 07:44 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 17:05 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 09:21 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:35 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:38
Radek Faksa· High-sticking
Radek Faksa· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:41
Justin Hryckowian· Tripping
Justin Hryckowian· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:44
Josh Doan· Tripping
Josh Doan· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:59
Tage Thompson· Hooking
Tage Thompson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Sabres power plays.