Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-9-8
3–4
Final / OTL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 23-13-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
18181902327
MTL
162130514428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 25-9-8 · MTL 23-13-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.9 expected goals); the Stars lost it in overtime on Hutson's goal. The Canadiens owned the 2nd period, 2.2 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.9, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 3.9 xG · 27 shots
MTL 3.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.2
3rd
1.7 · 0.2
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 08:42 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 13:53 · 1–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 10:14 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Oliver Kapanen · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 18:39 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:07 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
7
Lane Hutson · OT 03:40 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 50.
DAL 50%MTL 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 08:42 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 13:53 · 1–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 10:14 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Oliver Kapanen · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 18:39 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:07 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
7
Lane Hutson · OT 03:40 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2
Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:18
Ivan Demidov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:33
Jamie Benn· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:36
Ilya Lyubushkin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
08:13
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:00
Esa Lindell· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:10
Sam Steel· Slashing
Slafkovský scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:49
Phillip Danault· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:00
Wyatt Johnston· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Canadiens power plays.