DAL
1–4
TBL
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 27-13-9
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 30-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
190902120
TBL
1521516426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 27-13-9 · TBL 30-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Stars lost 1–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 20 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 2.5 xG · 20 shots
TBL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.8
3rd
0.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Oskar Bäck · 1st 04:00 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
2
Dominic James · 1st 08:04 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 11:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:50 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 17:59 · 1–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 46.
DAL 46%TBL 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Oskar Bäck · 1st 04:00 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
2
Dominic James · 1st 08:04 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 11:04 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 18:50 · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 17:59 · EN · 1–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:24
Erik Cernak· Hooking
Erik Cernak· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:04
Declan Carlile· Roughing
Declan Carlile· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:04
Justin Hryckowian· Roughing
Justin Hryckowian· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:16
Jason Robertson· Hooking
Jason Robertson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Erik Cernak· Interference
Erik Cernak· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:26
Colin Blackwell· Interference
Colin Blackwell· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Lightning power plays.