DAL
3–2
STL
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 29-14-9
3–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 19-24-8
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1101514319
STL
1319010222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 29-14-9 · STL 19-24-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.0 expected goals); the Stars won 3–2. Robertson's winner came with 1:00 left. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 19 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 2.0 xG · 19 shots
STL 2.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:41 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Dalibor Dvorsky · 1st 11:30 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 04:04 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:44 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:00 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 50.
DAL 50%STL 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 8 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:41 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Dalibor Dvorsky · 1st 11:30 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 04:04 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:44 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:00 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:54
Pavel Buchnevich· Holding
Pavel Buchnevich· Holding
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
1
Miro Heiskanen, Roope Hintz · Power play (Buchnevich, holding) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:01
Wyatt Johnston· Slashing
Wyatt Johnston· Slashing
Dvorsky scored on this power play
Minor
2
Pavel Buchnevich, Jordan Kyrou · Power play (Johnston, slashing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:23
Jamie Benn· Holding
Jamie Benn· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:19
Jimmy Snuggerud· Slashing
Jimmy Snuggerud· Slashing
Duchene scored on this power play
Minor
4
Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson · Power play (Snuggerud, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:57
Philip Broberg· Interference
Philip Broberg· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:38
Justin Faulk· Interference
Justin Faulk· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:51
Robby Fabbri· Tripping
Robby Fabbri· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:00
Nils Lundkvist· Holding
Nils Lundkvist· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 2-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Blues power plays.