DAL
4–3
WPG
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 33-14-9
4–3
Final / OTW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 22-25-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
08291912428
WPG
08291901327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
DAL 33-14-9 · WPG 22-25-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
Stars beat the Jets
The Stars earned it: 5.3 expected goals to 2.4, and they won it in overtime on Harley's goal. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 28 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 5.3 xG · 28 shots
WPG 2.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
1.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 2nd 00:48 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 02:26 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 03:58 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 15:13 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:17 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Logan Stanley · 3rd 18:17 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · OT 02:05 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 85.
DAL 85%WPG 15%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 2nd 00:48 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 02:26 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 03:58 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 15:13 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:17 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Logan Stanley · 3rd 18:17 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · OT 02:05 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:22
Radek Faksa· Tripping
Radek Faksa· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:21
Miro Heiskanen· Hooking
Miro Heiskanen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:39
Jonathan Toews· Hooking
Jonathan Toews· Hooking
Robertson scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
1
Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz · Power play (Toews, hooking) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Mikko Rantanen· Tripping
Mikko Rantanen· Tripping
Perfetti scored on this power play
Minor
3
Gabriel Vilardi, Mark Scheifele · Power play (Rantanen, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:34
Luke Schenn· Interference
Luke Schenn· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:20
Morgan Barron· Tripping
Morgan Barron· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:43
Jonathan Toews· Hooking
Jonathan Toews· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 5.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Jets power plays.