Dallas Stars
DAL · 38-14-10
4–5
Final / SOL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 42-10-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DAL
3101603020421
COL
2111917021529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 38-14-10 · COL 42-10-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars let a 3–1 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with three unanswered goals — Nichushkin's equalizer with 0:15 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 21 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 21 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 03:33 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 07:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:39 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Justin Hryckowian · 1st 16:07 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:58 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jamie Benn · 2nd 01:52 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:06 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:45 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 59.
DAL 59%COL 41%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 03:33 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 07:11 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:39 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Justin Hryckowian · 1st 16:07 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:58 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jamie Benn · 2nd 01:52 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:06 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:28
Oskar Bäck· Holding the stick
Makar scored on this power play
Minor
1
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · Power play (Bäck, holding the stick) · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:56
Jack Drury· Holding
Heiskanen scored on this power play
Minor
2
Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston · Power play (Drury, holding) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:48
Justin Hryckowian· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:46
Mavrik Bourque· Interference
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Minor
5
Martin Necas, Cale Makar · Power play (Bourque, interference) · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
3–2
2nd period
7
Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:11
Sam Steel· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:43
Josh Manson· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:20
Brett Kulak· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
06:56
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:40
Nathan Bastian· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Jason Robertson
Save
2
Valeri Nichushkin
Goal
3
Matt Duchene
Save
4
Martin Necas
Goal
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Avalanche power plays.