Dallas Stars
DAL · 42-14-10
3–2
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 36-23-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
19180611324
DET
040421402224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 42-14-10 · DET 36-23-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Red Wings
The Stars were outchanced (3.1 to 1.7 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Harley's goal anyway. John Gibson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 24 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 1.7 xG · 24 shots
DET 3.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 08:57 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 02:19 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 06:51 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:34 · 2–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (68%)
5
Thomas Harley · OT 02:06 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 28.
DAL 28%DET 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 08:57 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 02:19 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 06:51 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:34 · 2–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (68%)
5
Thomas Harley · OT 02:06 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
David Perron· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Miro Heiskanen· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:33
· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:25
Moritz Seider· Hooking
Bunting scored on this power play
Minor
2
Justin Hryckowian, Jason Robertson · Power play (Seider, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:30
Nathan Bastian· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
J.T. Compher· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:31
Lucas Raymond· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:33
Esa Lindell· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:35
Justin Faulk· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:35
Jason Robertson· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:44
Tyler Myers· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Red Wings power plays.